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A Stoic Guide for Climate Change and Sustainability Engineering
Synopsis
In many pursuits and initiatives in life, there are different styles of leadership.
Some point you forward, while others point at you.
Sustainability and climate change projects are no different. Articulating basic principles is a vital component to any successful enterprise. Perhaps even more so with the sustainability and climate change space which seems to attract more hidden agendas than qualified practitioners resulting in confused messaging and uncertainty on proceeding constructively. Using stoic principles offers a unifying project development mantra that is incorporated into a formal FEED effort that disregards superfluous rationale tainted with egregious virtue signaling.
Introduction
In his iconic work, Meditations, Marcus Aurelius (shown in the header) articulates his personal life journey. He notes that, despite his desire to be regarded as a philosopher, he concluded that “ the life of an Emperor mitigates against it.” He is frequently ranked as one of the top five emperors in the Roman Empire and his book continues to be a staple fixture for millions.
The utility of using a Stoic thought architecture for the basis of formulating governing principles is that it articulates a set of rules that can be universally applied as part of overall project development, engineering, and deployment efforts.
Sustainability projects are significantly more complicated than conventional environmental ones because there are additional elements that must be considered and factored into the overall project calculus. For example, large, centralized renewable energy systems, notably wind and solar, can be problematic with egregious land consumption. In the sustainability space, there is room for all technologies provided the applications are prudently engineered to mitigate unwanted ancillary complications.
Background
It is essential to note that developing projects and systems is a rigorous undertaking. Consequently, there is no room for virtue signaling as it has no role in sustainability engineering projects that are deployed for mitigating anthropogenic climate change. The embedded messaging of virtue signaling tends to resemble scare tactics. That is, a narrative is framed that is tantamount to saying that everyone must
"Act right now with lots or money or you're all going to die."
Perhaps, this characterization is a bit of unfair hyperbole. Nevertheless, this modus operandi is not a sustainable path for building consensus or solving the interlinked problems of climate change, sustainability, and societal functionality which are all searingly real and palpable. Alternatively, it is worthy to consider the application of stoic principles as guiding dicta for postulating and implementing authentically sustainable solutions to meet society’s enormous challenges. Clearly state the problem and methodically articulate the rationale to obtain a solution which is sustainable, mitigates climate change, and is economically acceptable.
The goal of stoicism is to objectively and dispassionately distill the essence of the functionality of situations with the absence of hidden or irrelevant agendas. As Marcus Aurelius once said, "Of each particular thing ask: what is it in itself? What is its nature?" This counsel is compellingly relevant in the complicated arena that embraces climate change, sustainability, and societal functionality. Additionally, these principles can be readily integrated into planning and conceptual engineering efforts involving both specific sustainability projects as well as the development of strategic thinking on a macro scale.
Application of Stoic Principles for Engineering Sustainability Projects and Initiatives
Sustainability project development must utilize the elements of sustainability science and engineering as part of an organized, structured enterprise to deploy renewable energy and resource systems. These enterprise efforts also require these elements in order to forge a pathway for installing the various components of renewable resource systems at local, city, regional, and national levels. The key for success is to concomitantly harness accepted engineering protocols and associated established procedures that are used in the chemical and pharmaceutical industries for guiding overall system design and engineering efforts for renewable resource systems.
Generally, project development is initiated with an approach that includes a formal FEED effort or Front-End Engineering Design that is performed at the completion of, or in parallel with, a concept and feasibility study phase where a number of options are assessed from an economic and safety perspective. During these efforts, applicable design and functionality requirements and constraints are articulated. Additionally, the project objectives and economics and other benefits are quantified. During this phase, the underlying assumptions and other cogent information are collected which largely set the design criteria. These criteria exert a huge influence on engineering decisions, project economics, and viability. Their accurate and careful elucidation is paramount.
The results of this engineering work is highly influenced by project assumptions. Thus, their objective elucidation is best achieved using principles largely based on key stoic essentials.
The Principles for Engineering Sustainability Projects and Initiatives
1. Tell the Truth – There’s Less to Remember
This wording for this fundamental principle is a saying that is attributed to the Hawaiian people. Factually and accurately articulating and documenting ALL the key assumptions and rationale that go into project development, design, and financing is absolutely essential. This is particularly true and critically crucial with sustainability projects whose functionality often interlinks in unexpected ways with societal functionality and other elements. One's factual acumen and transparency are vital and robust documentation is essential with these projects.
2. The Object of Life is Not to Be on the Side of the Majority, But to Escape Finding Oneself in the Ranks of the Insane
This philosophical gem is from Marcus Aurelius. It suggests that we need to be mindful on not just embracing new technologies but in also considering different macro configurations for resource and emissions management.
Implementing sustainability and climate change solutions is a new frontier.
Consequently, the current maxims for engineering systems that have guided human civilization and development are archaic and arguably a bit too narrowly focused. A new age requires a different way of thinking that compels us to consider a much wider range of assumptions, approaches, and solutions that warrant consideration or else we may find ourselves in “the ranks of the insane.” An analogous situation occurred when NASA was engineering the Apollo Moon missions where mission necessity propelled the team into uncharted waters that required a wider variety of approaches for consideration to address a multitude of novel and largely unanticipated challenges.
3. Premeditatio Malorum
If you are unaware of a potential negative outcome, you cannot prepare for it in advance.
The origins of the premeditatio malorum exercise are more than two thousand years old. Given the complexity of the interactions between climate change, sustainability, and societal functionality, there is the potential for a multitude of inevitable setbacks and adverse outcomes that are lurking. The purpose of the exercise is imagining things that could go wrong in a variety of scenarios that can be contemplated and potentially forecast. Most sustainability engineering systems or designs will not be straightforward. One must mentally accept and embrace that reality and incorporate it into ones thinking throughout a project’s conceptual and operational phases. It’s virtually impossible to prepare for or prevent something that one is unaware of. For example, Seneca noted that the unexpected setbacks are the most painful ones. Consequently, it behooves project designers to contemplate potential negative circumstances in advance for all phases of a project.
Visualizing potential negative outcomes is not being pessimistic. It is simply being proactive while maintaining a self-confident optimism.
4. Sustainability Can Only Address Anthropogenic Climate Change
It is relatively simple. There are two kinds of climate change. There is anthropogenic climate change which is attributed to emissions resulting from human activity that cannot be assimilated by natural mechanisms and which then compromise the environment. There is also non-anthropogenic, or natural climate change which is driven by major planetary factors such as volcanic eruptions, solar energy variations, etc. whose impacts far exceed the ability of humans to influence. And although there are often gray areas, the key consideration is that the project purpose is primarily focused on only mitigating emissions that are attributed to human activities.
Attempting to force the application of technology solutions to also address non-anthropogenic climate change is both foolhardy and reckless.
5. Provide the Mass and Energy Balances and the Value Proposition
One of the greatest misconceptions is that sustainability and the economy are separate.
Sustainability project development must utilize the elements of sustainability science and engineering as part of an organized, structured enterprise to deploy renewable energy and resource systems. These enterprise efforts also require these elements in order to forge a pathway for installing the components of renewable resource systems at local, city, regional, and national levels. A structured approach that includes a formal FEED effort is absolutely essential to determine the concomitant sustainability and economic metrics of a proposed solution.
Consequently, the results of FEED efforts are keenly dependent on the judicious application of Principle 1, "Tell the Truth - There's Less to Remember."
Analysis of Sustainability Scenarios
As Marcus Aurelius remarked, we need to avoid being "in the ranks of the insane." The basic elegance of this thinking is that one avoid tunnel vision when it comes to elucidating and engineering solutions. One must attempt to be as unbiased as possible and open to unexpected and novel configurations whose functional elements meet the requisite expectations for a given project.
Solar, Wind, and the Green New Deal
The stark current reality is that both wind power and solar platforms are not performing as we were led to believe. Also consider situations like China's pledge to increase its middle class rapidly by 400 million people and the associated onerous increase in energy requirements that are required that basically make this goal an impossibility.
The landscape is further clouded by egregious greenwashing by the United Nations who blithely proclaim that Costa Rica is a “UN Champion of the Earth.”
The UN made this proclamation because of the country's prodigious utilization of hydroelectric, solar, and wind for energy production." However, this ignores that concomitant land area requirements of 6.3% of the country's land resulting in displacement of indigenous people and other problems.
There is also the outlandish US Green New Deal championed by Representative Alexandria Ocasio Cortez. If implemented, it would require 26% of America’s land area. Virtue signaling has its downsides.
It is important to note that solar and wind are likely more effective in scenarios where centralized energy production is not the primary strategy.
For example, solar particularly is better suited for applications for individual homes and businesses.
Improved energy storage technologies will facilitate more of these applications and intense competition, while problematic for large solar companies, is favorable for consumers.
Premeditatio Malorum, Virtue Signaling, and Project Development
There are always two sides for large engineered systems. The upside and the downside. However, the modus operandi of the Climate Change lobby is that it is fatally stricken with a terminal case of virtue signaling. This reality leads to a mindset that implementation of renewable systems are a de facto "special case" that receive special consideration resulting in waiving stringent project criteria that would otherwise hold for other technologies.
Although they never explicitly state it, the Climate Change lobby's implicit messaging is that renewable systems, particularly solar and wind, are absolved and, therefore, immune from any scrutiny that may hinder or prevent installing these systems.
This state of affairs is unacceptable and, in the long term, catastrophic for sustainability initiatives and control of anthropogenic climate change.
Consequently, it is essential that engineering development efforts for sustainability systems incorporate the thinking of Premeditatio Malorum and completely dispense with Virtue Signaling.
Summary
Sustainability projects and the concomitant effort to manage anthropogenic climate change are significantly more complicated than conventional environmental ones because there are additional elements that must be considered and factored into the overall project calculus. There are already familiar project engineering protocols that incorporate structured FEED efforts. The functionality and output of these efforts is highly dependent on the input provided to these protocols and their mathematical models which include both process design conceptualization as well as the interlinked financial models. It behooves project developers to consider incorporating analytical cycles that channel the tenets of premeditatio malorum. Unexpected setbacks are the most painful ones and it is better to be over-prepared than being completely blindsided.
In addition to fiscal ramifications, multiple project disappointments will create an onerous, negative pall on renewable projects and their champions to the detriment of all sustainability practitioners and the environment.
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