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Eerie calm

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Seb Kennedy's picture
Founding Editor, Energy Flux newsletter

I am professional energy journalist, writer and editor who has been chronicling the renewables and fossil fuel energy sectors since 2008.  I am passionate about the energy transition, so much so...

  • Member since 2020
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  • Oct 13, 2023
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It’s the ‘shoulder season’ and global gas markets have duly softened. Unable to absorb more molecules, Europe has loosened its grip in the tug-of-war with Asia for liquefied natural gas (LNG), creating a brief restocking opportunity for buyers east of Suez. Markets are still pricing in a premium for winter LNG deliveries into Europe, but the opportunity to float cargoes into high-price colder months has evaporated. The question now is, how long can this state of eerie calm endure — and what will trigger the next bout of sparring?

Mild autumnal temperatures are keeping a lid on northern hemisphere cooling and heating demand. Gas flows into Europe from Norway have recovered post-maintenance, and (what remains of) Russian pipeline exports are stable. With EU storage levels at or near their technical capacity, front-month TTF — the European gas benchmark — has lost a lot of ground against JKM, the Asian LNG spot price.

Read entire article at Energy flux

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